Oct 232014
 

http://wikileaks.org/cable/2006/04/06MANILA1569.html#

Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
06MANILA1569 2006-04-07 04:25 2011-08-30 01:44 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Manila
VZCZCXRO5258
PP RUEHCHI RUEHDT RUEHHM
DE RUEHML #1569 0970425
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 070425Z APR 06
FM AMEMBASSY MANILA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 0427
INFO RUEHZS/ASSOCIATION OF SOUTHEAST ASIAN NATIONS
RHHMUNA/CDRUSPACOM HONOLULU HI
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC
RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC
UNCLAS MANILA 001569

SIPDIS

SENSITIVE
SIPDIS

STATE FOR EAP/MTS

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PINS PGOV TH RP
SUBJECT: LITTLE CHANCE ARROYO WILL FOLLOW THE THAKSIN ROUTE

¶1. (SBU) The Philippine public — or at least the political
elites in Manila, opposition groups, and the media — have
followed with great interest the recent political
developments in Thailand that led to snap elections and the
decision by Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra to resign. The
opposition has renewed its calls for President Arroyo
similarly to step down and/or hold to snap elections, options
that Malacanang has definitely ruled out. Police had to use
water cannons to disperse a group of about 1,500 protesters
calling anew for the President’s resignation near Malacanang
on April 6 under the controversial “Calibrated Preemptive
Response” (CPR) policy, on which the Supreme Court heard
arguments on April 4. GRP officials have also vigorously
protested the critical editorial “Dark Days for Philippine
Democracy” in the April 5 “New York Times.”

¶2. (SBU) Comment: All indications — private and public —
are that President Arroyo has no intention of leaving office
before 2010, still believes that the decisive action in
proclaiming a State of National Emergency in February was
justified and successful, and intends to continue to work on
her agenda, including charter change, despite her sagging
popularity and legal challenges to Executive Orders 464
(limiting Congressional testimony by government officials)
and 1017 (proclaiming the State of National Emergency) and to
the CPR, as well as expected cases against the ongoing
“People’s Initiative” for constitutional amendment to a
parliamentary system. The irony that it was the
parliamentary system in Thailand that enabled the toppling of
Thaksin appears lost on GMA supporters in their quest to
transform the Philippines from the current presidential model
to a unicameral parliamentary system. however.

Visit Embassy Manila’s Classified SIPRNET website:
http://www.state.sgov.gov/p/eap/manila/index. cfm

You can also access this site through the State Department’s
Classified SIPRNET website:
http://www.state.sgov.gov/

Kenney

   

 

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